People are going back to the office — except for the Bay Area • TechCrunch

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Over the past decade, startups have migrated north from Silicon Valley to make San Francisco the nation’s hottest tech hub. The city’s streets were bustling with people — mostly tech — workers walking or taking Ubers to their next meetings.

Then the Covid-19 pandemic hit, and things came to a standstill. Now, more than two years and several vaccinations later, San Francisco’s office scene still hasn’t recovered and the city’s streets are eerily quiet.

If you think it’s smaller than most cities you’ve visited recently, you’re right. San Francisco is seeing the lowest attendance rates for office workers in the United States, Collin said. YasukochiReal estate brokerage Executive Director CBRE’s Tech Insights Center. Silicon Valley is not far behind.

It turned around.

ofch companies, he said Yasukochi, “it wasVery accommodating in terms of providing flexibility and not requiring employees to come back for any dates. Some really have [asked staffers to come back]. But what their policy is and what their compliance is are two different things.

He added: “They’re saying you have to come back three days a week, and if you’re only two days a week or one day a week or not at all, what are you doing to enforce that?” And the answer to this question is currently not much.

Why run around the issue? Although the tech industry has seen tens of thousands of workers laid off in recent months, Yasukochi still believes a strong labor market that offers workers more options has a “disproportionate impact” on remote work policies. .

As he explained, “It’s still very difficult to hire, unemployment is very low, technology workers have traditionally been difficult to hire, and many employers are anxious to accelerate their already regular business turnover.”

Deep down, they’re scared. And startups aren’t the only ones worried about losing employees. Some big and powerful companies have backed off or at least delayed their return to work plans due to pushback from their employees. Examples include Apple and Google, among others.

So how low is the attendance rate for office workers in San Francisco?

according to Kastle access controlBetween mid-August and late August, San Jose had the lowest attendance rate at 34.8 percent compared to pre-pandemic levels. San Francisco wasn’t far behind, at 38.4%, including the East Bay and Peninsula. By contrast, the emerging tech hub of Austin’s occupancy rate stood at 58.5% in mid-August.

Supply road, rent only slightly down.

Even though fewer workers have moved into office and the market supply in SF has increased significantly, rents have fallen 13.1 percent since the first quarter of 2020 — to an all-time high of $88.40 per square foot. Annually and then to $76.86 in the second quarter of 2022, according to Yasukochi.

It’s surprising considering that the San Francisco office market was 4% vacant. It is now 24% open.

Meanwhile, the vacancy in San Jose was announced in 2015. It stood at 6% at the end of 2019. They are now at 12.5%, which is “not very high compared to the city”. It is mentioned Yasukochi. And office rent has remained the same compared to the end of 2019.

If you want to know why San Jose ranks better than its northern neighbor, Yasukochi says it owes it to the types of businesses in both cities. San Jose is home to strong businesses like eBay and PayPal that were founded two decades ago. San Francisco has many unestablished startups that have had a tough time surviving and thriving during the pandemic, from companies involved in mobility and transportation to retail to restaurants.

“Business went south during the shutdown, and even after they recovered, many cut and downsized office space,” he told TechCrunch. “And when many companies first decided to move to a remote location, they needed much less office space than before.”

In any case, workers still dominate. But things will change slowly, Yasukochi believes.

“The pendulum tends to swing in different directions depending on different conditions in the marketplace,” he said. “We’re finally starting to see more influence in the hands of employers. As the labor market may loosen slightly, although there is no sense that the labor market will change significantly anytime soon.

Meanwhile, the question on many people’s minds — with the ongoing housing shortage and oversupply of office space — is why more office buildings aren’t being converted to homes.

Yasukochi suggests that some space may change in the future, but for now, it’s a bittersweet prospect for commercial building owners.

“WeIt’s not even close yet because the values ​​of these buildings have to drop dramatically,” Yasukochi said. “If you bought your building at a certain price — say $700 or $1,000 a square foot, you don’t want to sell it for $200 or $300 a square foot to accommodate conversion.”

“It makes perfect sense to put it to more productive use, but tell that to the person who paid for it – they’ve got a loss, right?”

Perhaps landlords have reason to be discouraged. Not all employers in San Francisco allow their employees to work from home for the most part.

The data recently reported that the startup merger “chose To go to work in personHe said. The organization – Aimed at providing B2B enterprises Integrated API to access data Dozens of HR, Payroll, Recruiting and Accounting Platforms – He is forcing all his employees to be in the office five days a week, which is unusual in the Bay Area.

Meanwhile, Axios recently reported on the customer service startup’s frontline “relocating employees to its mid-market headquarters in late June.”

About 75% of the firm’s 450 employees are required to report to the office on Tuesdays and Thursdays unless they are exempt. The remaining 25% “will be in the office full-time, fully remote or mostly remote,” reports Axios.

Front CEO Ashley Alexander told TechCrunch that the nine-year-old company — originally founded in France — has had an office in San Francisco for eight years.

Front voluntarily opened its US offices in March 2021. After surveying the team “extensively” to hear what they wanted in a new post-Covid work structure, he decided it made the most sense to ask front-line people to come into the office. same daysEven if not every day.

Image Credits: face to face

“We want to be intentional about this because having a handful of people spread out in a big, empty office doesn’t do what our team needs. We want to make sure employees feel the buzz, energy, and warmth of their team around them on the days they come to the office. “If everyone can choose their own days to come in, every day of the week. We can have small groups – and workers who are not organized about when to meet will never meet.”

However, she admits the front is only a few months into its new approach, and is “closely monitoring the process back in office” to see how it needs to be tweaked and adjusted.

How this tug of war plays out over time remains to be seen.

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